Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 21 July 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 180th strongest of the 376 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 21 at 4:58PM EDT until July 21 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Urban PEI: 3,341,355 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 21, 2026 · score 46 · 0.1 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 76 · 1.8 km
- July 27, 2026 · score 52 · 3.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.7940, -75.4628 |
| Nearest City | Wilmington (9 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 3.3M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-21T20:58:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.032ebe63d7d212d2d6abc1952405e7f8 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-21T20:58:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-21T21:01:39.313Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Anne Arundel, MD; Delaware, PA; Montgomery, PA; Philadelphia, PA; New Castle, DE; Gloucester, NJ; Salem, NJ; Chester, PA; Delaware, PA and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 21 at 4:58PM EDT until July 21 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-07-21T17:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.032ebe63d7d212d2d6abc1952405e7f875f5fdbb.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.569fd7ad5c705c2a096bc7de34dc41860eb4aa77.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9559ba3918892896bba700fcd29e3a3e40ae9a27.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2d5adf631edd053e3b942f8f13266eeb46f038a.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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